Paris FC 4-1 Red Star FC 93 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.95
Over
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No Pick
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.4
2-3
42%
1.78
4-5
20%
3.29
6+
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.0
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.3
X/1
18%
4.03
X/2
5%
10.65
X/X
15%
5.48
2/1
9%
22.55
2/2
9%
8.72
2/X
7%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.8pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Star FC 93 The Market 21%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.60/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.83
-12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -8%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
424 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.6 Crosses 15.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Red Star FC 93
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
415 Passes 352
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-3 HT 1-2 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
10.05.2019 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 0-1 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
21.12.2018 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
09.08.2016 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FRLK
04.04.2016 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 2-4 HT 1-2 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
07.11.2015 Paris FC Paris FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
4-1
AWAY Red Star FC 93
2.64 xG 1.51
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
380 Passes 396
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
33 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Red Star FC 93
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC swept aside Red Star FC 93 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paris FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paris FC had 49% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 51%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.64 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paris FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paris FC and 1.00 for Red Star FC 93.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Red Star FC 93?

Paris FC 4-1 Red Star FC 93 in the France - Ligue 2 on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Red Star FC 93?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 51%, draw 27%, Red Star FC 93 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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