Lorient 3-2 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.04
2-3
42%
1.75
4-5
20%
3.59
6+
11%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.04 — our 27% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.13
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.1
X/1
17%
4.03
X/2
6%
9.93
X/X
15%
5.01
2/1
9%
23.85
2/2
11%
8.33
2/X
7%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorient The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont The Market 22%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
2.09/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.43
+36% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +35%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
22.2 Crosses 18.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorient
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Clermont
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.87 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 Passes 408
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Clermont Clermont 2-1 HT 1-0 Lorient Lorient FR2
19.05.2024 Lorient Lorient 5-0 HT 2-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
12.11.2023 Clermont Clermont 1-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
27.05.2023 Clermont Clermont 2-0 HT 1-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
28.08.2022 Lorient Lorient 2-1 HT 2-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
13.03.2022 Clermont Clermont 0-2 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorient
3-2
AWAY Clermont
2.64 xG 1.53
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
363 Passes 352
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
34 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lorient vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient squeezed past Clermont 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lorient had 51% of the ball to Clermont's 49%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.64 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lorient and 1.00 for Clermont.

What was the final score of Lorient vs Clermont?

Lorient 3-2 Clermont in the France - Ligue 2 on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorient vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lorient 51%, draw 27%, Clermont 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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