CA La Paz 1-1 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 25 Jan 2025

CA La Paz
1-1 HT 1-1
Correcaminos UAT
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

CA La Paz vs Correcaminos UAT Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.92
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
48%
+5.1pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.4pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CA La Paz v Correcaminos UAT — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 31%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
2.03/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.73
+28% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

CA La Paz vs Correcaminos UAT Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
09.08.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 5-1 HT 2-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
18.03.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
10.11.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-1 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
27.10.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-0 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
08.03.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 4-1 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
06.10.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 4-2 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz and Correcaminos UAT couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was CA La Paz at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Correcaminos UAT led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CA La Paz and 2.00 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Correcaminos UAT?

CA La Paz 1-1 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 53%, draw 19%, Correcaminos UAT 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CA La Paz), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA La Paz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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