Ankara Demirspor 1-1 Bucaspor 1928 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.64
Over
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
35%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ankara Demirspor The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucaspor 1928 The Market 32%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.75/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.20
+55% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ankara Demirspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 1-1 HT 1-1 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor T2L-K
24.02.2024 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 1-0 HT 1-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor T2L-K
14.10.2023 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
04.02.2023 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
14.09.2022 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 1-0 HT 0-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor T2L-K
19.02.2022 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ankara Demirspor
1-1
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ankara Demirspor vs Bucaspor 1928
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ankara Demirspor and Bucaspor 1928 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Ankara Demirspor had 59% of the ball to Bucaspor 1928's 41%, shots finished 11-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bucaspor 1928 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ankara Demirspor and 0.83 for Bucaspor 1928.

What was the final score of Ankara Demirspor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Ankara Demirspor 1-1 Bucaspor 1928 in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ankara Demirspor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ankara Demirspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ankara Demirspor 38%, draw 32%, Bucaspor 1928 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ankara Demirspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ankara Demirspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T2L-K More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
25 Jan 2025
14:00 Menemen FK vs Karaman Futbol Kulübü Analysis →