Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Real Sociedad v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals
Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Real Sociedad 3-1 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics
Real Sociedad beat Celta Vigo 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 52%.
By the numbers, Celta Vigo saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.38 to 1.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Real Sociedad against 1.00 for Celta Vigo.
Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Result & Final Score
Real Sociedad 3 - 1 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 43%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.