Thun 4-1 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.13
2-3 Goals
35%
1.98
4-5 Goals
28%
2.67
6+ Goals
15%
6.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.54
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
17%
5.02
X/2
9%
7.99
X/X
15%
6.13
2/1
8%
20.45
2/2
9%
5.18
2/X
5%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.1pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.98/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.55
-7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
22.4 Crosses 18.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Young Boys
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.23 xG 2.06
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
250 Passes 319
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2025 Young Boys Young Boys 4-2 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV
28.02.2023 Thun Thun 0-5 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSVK
08.07.2020 Young Boys Young Boys 4-0 HT 1-0 Thun Thun İSV
23.06.2020 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
27.10.2019 Young Boys Young Boys 4-2 HT 2-1 Thun Thun İSV
25.09.2019 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
4-1
AWAY Young Boys
1.97 xG 2.01
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
189 Passes 357
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Thun vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun swept aside Young Boys 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Thun had 40% of the ball to Young Boys's 60%, shots finished 15-21, expected goals 1.97 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Thun and 3.00 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Thun vs Young Boys?

Thun 4-1 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Thun 47%, draw 26%, Young Boys 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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