Zürich 3-4 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.88
6+ Goals
14%
8.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.11
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.8
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
11%
7.63
X/2
18%
5.03
X/X
8%
5.58
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
21%
2.69
2/X
9%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.8 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
48%
Away Win
46%
+1.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.6pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 50%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.54/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.55
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
18.4 Crosses 16.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Basel
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 1.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 Passes 296
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2025 Basel Basel 2-0 HT 1-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
12.04.2025 Zürich Zürich 0-4 HT 0-2 Basel Basel İSV
02.02.2025 Zürich Zürich 0-1 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
21.09.2024 Basel Basel 0-2 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
30.03.2024 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 2-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
21.01.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
3-4
AWAY Basel
3.49 xG 2.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 24
11 Shots on Target 13
10 Corners 5
199 Passes 226
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel squeezed past Zürich 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zürich had 48% of the ball to Basel's 52%, shots finished 18-24, expected goals 3.49 to 2.87 — on chances, Zürich could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zürich and 1.50 for Basel.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Basel?

Zürich 3-4 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zürich 29%, draw 23%, Basel 48%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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