Zürich vs Basel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zürich v Basel — Team-Based Signals
Zürich vs Basel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Zürich 3-4 Basel — Actual Match Statistics
Basel squeezed past Zürich 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Zürich had 48% of the ball to Basel's 52%, shots finished 18-24, expected goals 3.49 to 2.87 — on chances, Zürich could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zürich and 1.50 for Basel.
What was the final score of Zürich vs Basel?
Zürich 3-4 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zürich vs Basel?
Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zürich 29%, draw 23%, Basel 48%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.