Zürich 0-4 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.95
2-3 Goals
37%
1.99
4-5 Goals
27%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.13
1/2
10%
22.9
1/X
11%
12.65
X/1
11%
6.72
X/2
18%
5.63
X/X
9%
5.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
2/2
15%
3.14
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.18/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.32
-2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +21%
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
18.3 Crosses 16.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Basel
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.58 xG 1.10
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 Passes 338
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Zürich Zürich 0-1 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
21.09.2024 Basel Basel 0-2 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
30.03.2024 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 2-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
21.01.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
03.09.2023 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
07.05.2023 Basel Basel 0-2 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
0-4
AWAY Basel
1.15 xG 2.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 6
321 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel swept aside Zürich 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Zürich had 53% of the ball to Basel's 47%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.15 to 2.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zürich and 0.83 for Basel.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Basel?

Zürich 0-4 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zürich 32%, draw 25%, Basel 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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