Winterthur 1-0 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
13%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.98
1/2
7%
22.9
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
11%
8.2
X/2 EV+ ✗
25%
4.69
X/X
15%
5.26
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
14%
2.53
2/X
6%
13.2
Value flag · X/2 at 4.69 — our 25% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 54%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.02/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.14
-15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
15.7 Crosses 24.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.38 xG 1.09
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
266 Passes 386
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 0-3 HT 0-2 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSVK
09.11.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
20.10.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 2-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
25.02.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-1 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
17.12.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
27.08.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 2-5 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
1-0
AWAY Lausanne Sports
0.23 xG 0.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
248 Passes 225
67% Pass Accuracy 68%
13 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur nicked a narrow win over Lausanne Sports 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lausanne Sports at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Winterthur had 52% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 48%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.23 to 0.76 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lausanne Sports.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Winterthur and 1.33 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Lausanne Sports?

Winterthur 1-0 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 27%, draw 27%, Lausanne Sports 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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