Basel 2-0 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.49
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.63
Over 2.5
63%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.23
2-3 Goals
38%
2.14
4-5 Goals
27%
2.59
6+ Goals
15%
5.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.78
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.65
X/1
21%
4.28
X/2
7%
12.4
X/X
6%
7.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
18.25
2/2
5%
8.73
2/X
5%
17.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.25 — our 10% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
63%
+5.4pp
16%
Draw
20%
-4.3pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-1.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
34%
+2.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
66%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +23%
2.09/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.43
+10% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +39%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.7 Crosses 13.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Zürich
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 1.45
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 Passes 290
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2025 Zürich Zürich 0-4 HT 0-2 Basel Basel İSV
02.02.2025 Zürich Zürich 0-1 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
21.09.2024 Basel Basel 0-2 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
30.03.2024 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 2-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
21.01.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
03.09.2023 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
2-0
AWAY Zürich
2.61 xG 0.73
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
272 Passes 346
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Basel vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel saw off Zürich 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Basel had 45% of the ball to Zürich's 55%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.61 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Basel and 1.00 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Basel vs Zürich?

Basel 2-0 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Basel 68%, draw 16%, Zürich 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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