.png)
.png)
Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wellington Phoenix (K) v Adelaide United (K) — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
_small.png)
2-1
HT 0-1
_small.png)
Wellington Phoenix (K)
AVUSTW
Wellington Phoenix (K) 3-1 Adelaide United (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix (K) got the better of Adelaide United (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 42% / 22%) promised a tight game; Wellington Phoenix (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (63%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 39% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 61%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.99 to 1.04.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Adelaide United (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Wellington Phoenix (K) and 1.40 for Adelaide United (K).
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?
Wellington Phoenix (K) 3-1 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 37%, draw 42%, Adelaide United (K) 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.