Metz 2-5 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 25 Jan 2026

Metz
2 - 5 HT 1 - 4
Lyon
📅25/01/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Metz vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.64
Away Pick
61%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.82
Over
49%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.11
2-3
47%
1.77
4-5
22%
3.63
6+
5%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.36
1/2
4%
24.45
1/X
4%
16.7
X/1
7%
10.05
X/2
21%
4.16
X/X
14%
5.0
2/1
1%
35.0
2/2
36%
2.17
2/X
4%
14.9
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Metz v Lyon — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Metz The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon The Market 59%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.84 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.99
1.83 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.86
Weak Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 84%
14 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Metz vs Lyon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metz
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lyon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.95 xG 2.03
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
241 Passes 506
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.08.2025 Lyon Lyon 3-0 HT 2-0 Metz Metz FR1
23.02.2024 Metz Metz 1-2 HT 1-1 Lyon Lyon FR1
05.11.2023 Lyon Lyon 1-1 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR1
07.01.2023 Lyon Lyon 2-1 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FRK
08.05.2022 Metz Metz 3-2 HT 2-1 Lyon Lyon FR1
22.12.2021 Lyon Lyon 1-1 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR1

Metz 2-5 Lyon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metz
2 - 5
AWAY Lyon
1.30 xG 2.59
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 4
404 Passes 355
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 32
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Metz vs Lyon
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lyon made light work of Metz 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring.

On the day, possession split 53% to 47% in Metz's favour, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.30 to 2.59.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Metz against 1.83 for Lyon.

Metz vs Lyon Result & Final Score

Metz 2 - 5 Lyon in the France - Ligue 1 on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Metz vs Lyon Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Metz 16%, draw 23%, Lyon 61%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon) ✗ Under 2.5
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