Alajuelense 1-0 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
13%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.82
Over
51%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos The Market 16%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.86 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.79
0.79 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.27
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Weak
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
420 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
3W-3D-0L
AWAY San Carlos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2025 San Carlos San Carlos 0-2 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
17.09.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 2-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
30.01.2025 San Carlos San Carlos 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
27.10.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-1 HT 0-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
25.08.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
01.04.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-1 HT 0-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
1-0
AWAY San Carlos
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Alajuelense vs San Carlos
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Alajuelense came out on the right side of a one-goal game with San Carlos 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Alajuelense had 56% of the ball to San Carlos's 44%, shots finished 12-9.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alajuelense and 0.33 for San Carlos.

Alajuelense vs San Carlos Result & Final Score

Alajuelense 1-0 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Alajuelense vs San Carlos Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 66%, draw 21%, San Carlos 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
25 Jan 2026
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