Alajuelense 3-1 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.15
Over
53%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.67
No
42%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
40%
4-5
27%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos The Market 23%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.55 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.18
0.77 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.83
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Weak
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
269 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 183 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
3W-3D-0L
AWAY San Carlos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
01.04.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-1 HT 0-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
26.01.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 2-3 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
22.10.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 0-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
19.08.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-0 HT 2-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
20.03.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
3-1
AWAY San Carlos
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Alajuelense vs San Carlos
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Alajuelense got the better of San Carlos 3-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 56% to 44% in Alajuelense's favour, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Alajuelense against 0.83 for San Carlos.

Alajuelense vs San Carlos Result & Final Score

Alajuelense 3-1 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Alajuelense vs San Carlos Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 47%, draw 26%, San Carlos 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
27 Oct 2024
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