Torreense 2-1 Farense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.63
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.51/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.12
-5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.8 Crosses 19.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Farense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.98 xG 0.87
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
233 Passes 351
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2025 Farense Farense 0-3 HT 0-1 Torreense Torreense POR2
29.01.2023 Torreense Torreense 1-0 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR2
06.08.2022 Farense Farense 2-1 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
2-1
AWAY Farense
2.13 xG 1.35
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
257 Passes 344
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torreense vs Farense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense nicked a narrow win over Farense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Torreense found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Torreense had 44% of the ball to Farense's 56%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.13 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torreense had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Torreense and 0.67 for Farense.

What was the final score of Torreense vs Farense?

Torreense 2-1 Farense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs Farense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Torreense 38%, draw 23%, Farense 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Farense) ✗ Under 2.5
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