Porto II 1-0 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
50%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.8pp
50%
Away Win
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +20%
1.18/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.03
+14% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.6 Crosses 19.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Vizela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.68 xG 1.87
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
251 Passes 325
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Vizela Vizela 4-0 HT 2-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
03.05.2025 Porto II Porto II 0-1 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR2
21.12.2024 Vizela Vizela 2-1 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
07.02.2021 Vizela Vizela 0-0 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
19.09.2020 Porto II Porto II 4-1 HT 3-0 Vizela Vizela POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
1-0
AWAY Vizela
1.12 xG 2.18
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
177 Passes 400
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Porto II vs Vizela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto II edged past Vizela 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vizela at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Porto II had 33% of the ball to Vizela's 67%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.12 to 2.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vizela.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vizela led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Porto II and 1.60 for Vizela.

What was the final score of Porto II vs Vizela?

Porto II 1-0 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto II vs Vizela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Porto II 27%, draw 23%, Vizela 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vizela) ✗ BTTS Yes
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