FCSB vs CFR Cluj Prediction — Model Probabilities
FCSB v CFR Cluj — Team-Based Signals
FCSB vs CFR Cluj Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FCSB 1-4 CFR Cluj — Actual Match Statistics
CFR Cluj ran out comfortable winners over FCSB 4-1 on their travels. Half-time: 1-2. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
Our pre-match lean was FCSB at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.82, about 55% — so the upset beat the price as well as us.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. At 1.82 (~55%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
The match data tells the story: possession split 62% to 38% in FCSB's favour, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.00 to 1.82.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for FCSB against 1.50 for CFR Cluj.
FCSB vs CFR Cluj Result & Final Score
FCSB 1-4 CFR Cluj in the Romania - 1st Division on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FCSB vs CFR Cluj Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FCSB 46%, draw 29%, CFR Cluj 25%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FCSB), Under 2.5 went the other way.