Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 Hansa Rostock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
31%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.72
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
10%
17.8
X/1
13%
3.67
X/2
9%
14.1
X/X
6%
6.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
21.4
2/2
9%
10.7
2/X
8%
18.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 13% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
2.08/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.83
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
406 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
25.4 Crosses 16.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Hansa Rostock
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.26 xG 1.47
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
356 Passes 274
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-3 HT 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
19.03.2023 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-5 HT 0-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
10.09.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 HT 2-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
08.04.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
31.10.2021 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
20.08.2016 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-3 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-0
AWAY Hansa Rostock
1.93 xG 0.78
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
314 Passes 270
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
42 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hansa Rostock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf beat Hansa Rostock 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 54% of the ball to Hansa Rostock's 46%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.93 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.00 for Hansa Rostock.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hansa Rostock?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 Hansa Rostock in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hansa Rostock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 54%, draw 24%, Hansa Rostock 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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