Imabari 1-0 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imabari EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.63/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.53
+20% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Imabari
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-1 HT 1-1 Imabari Imabari JAP3
28.05.2023 Imabari Imabari 3-0 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
02.10.2022 Imabari Imabari 3-0 HT 2-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
27.03.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-1 HT 1-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
21.11.2021 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-1 HT 0-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
28.03.2021 Imabari Imabari 2-0 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imabari
1-0
AWAY Gainare Tottori
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Imabari vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Imabari squeezed past Gainare Tottori 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Imabari as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Imabari had 47% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 53%, shots finished 21-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Imabari had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Imabari and 0.83 for Gainare Tottori.

What was the final score of Imabari vs Gainare Tottori?

Imabari 1-0 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imabari vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Imabari 42%, draw 28%, Gainare Tottori 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Imabari) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Imabari) ✗ BTTS Yes
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