25/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Gievenbeck vs Sprockhövel Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
No
33%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
17%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
28%
32%
Draw
24%
32%
Away Win
48%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gievenbeck v Sprockhövel — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gievenbeck
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sprockhövel
EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-66% /
-66%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-41%
/
-36%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Target
8
6
Corners
6
236 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
448 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Gievenbeck vs Sprockhövel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gievenbeck edged past Sprockhövel 2-1.
Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Gievenbeck found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Gievenbeck vs Sprockhövel?
Gievenbeck 2-1 Sprockhövel in the Germany - Oberliga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gievenbeck vs Sprockhövel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gievenbeck win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gievenbeck 37%, draw 32%, Sprockhövel 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gievenbeck), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Gievenbeck)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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OBER
More Germany - Oberliga
25 Feb 2024