25/02/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
VFC Plauen vs VfB Auerbach Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
5%
2/1
17%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
10%
15%
Draw
14%
53%
Away Win
76%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
VFC Plauen v VfB Auerbach — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
VFC Plauen
EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
VfB Auerbach
EU Bookmakers 81%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+14% /
+14%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-54%
/
–
37%
Ball Possession
63%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
6
195 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
531 · 87%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
VFC Plauen vs VfB Auerbach Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
VFC Plauen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
VfB Auerbach
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
6
9
Corners
10
The Meetings
02.05.2014
VfB Auerbach
1-0
HT 1-0
VFC Plauen
ALMBÖL
1-0
HT 1-0
VFC Plauen
ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH
VFC Plauen vs VfB Auerbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
VFC Plauen edged past VfB Auerbach 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was VfB Auerbach at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of VFC Plauen vs VfB Auerbach?
VFC Plauen 2-1 VfB Auerbach in the Germany - Oberliga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for VFC Plauen vs VfB Auerbach?
Before kick-off our model rated an VfB Auerbach win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split VFC Plauen 32%, draw 15%, VfB Auerbach 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VfB Auerbach) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (VfB Auerbach)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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OBER
More Germany - Oberliga
25 Feb 2024