Optik Rathenow 1-1 Sparta Lichtenberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
29%
+11.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Optik Rathenow EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Lichtenberg EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Optik Rathenow
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sparta Lichtenberg
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 13
20.08.2023 Sparta Lichtenberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Optik Rathenow Optik Rathenow OBER
POST-MATCH Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Optik Rathenow and Sparta Lichtenberg shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Optik Rathenow at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg?

Optik Rathenow 1-1 Sparta Lichtenberg in the Germany - Oberliga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Optik Rathenow win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Optik Rathenow 41%, draw 26%, Sparta Lichtenberg 34%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Optik Rathenow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
OBER More Germany - Oberliga
25 Feb 2024
15:30 VFC Plauen vs VfB Auerbach Analysis →
15:30 Einheit Rudolstadt vs Arnstadt Analysis →
15:30 Neustrelitz vs Rostocker FC Analysis →
15:30 Eintracht Mahlsdorf vs Tennis Borussia Berlin Analysis →
16:00 Heeslinger SC vs Lupo-Martini Analysis →
16:00 ASC 09 Dortmund vs Wattenscheid 09 Analysis →