25/02/2024
·
17:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Union Schafhausen vs Fortuna Köln II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
42%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
37%
24%
Draw
30%
38%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Schafhausen v Fortuna Köln II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Union Schafhausen
The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Fortuna Köln II
The Market 37%
-44% /
-44%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
-64%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
335 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
263 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Union Schafhausen vs Fortuna Köln II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Union Schafhausen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Fortuna Köln II
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
5.00
33%
Ball Possession
67%
5
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
7
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Union Schafhausen vs Fortuna Köln II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Union Schafhausen got the better of Fortuna Köln II 2-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Union Schafhausen found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Union Schafhausen vs Fortuna Köln II?
Union Schafhausen 2-0 Fortuna Köln II in the Germany - Oberliga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Schafhausen vs Fortuna Köln II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Schafhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Union Schafhausen 38%, draw 24%, Fortuna Köln II 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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OBER
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25 Feb 2024