Atletico Grau 2-2 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.91/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.06
+19% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
26.9 Crosses 18.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
1W-2D-1L
AWAY ADT
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 1.29
70% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
334 Passes 108
83% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.07.2023 ADT ADT 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
19.02.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 1-1 ADT ADT PER
04.09.2022 ADT ADT 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
16.04.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-1 HT 3-0 ADT ADT PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
2-2
AWAY ADT
1.96 xG 1.43
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
253 Passes 183
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
33 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau and ADT couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Grau at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 57% of the ball to ADT's 43%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.96 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.00 for ADT.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs ADT?

Atletico Grau 2-2 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 50%, draw 27%, ADT 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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