Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-4 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.6pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 57%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.06/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.09
-3% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
18.3 Crosses 19.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.33 xG 2.55
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
171 Passes 352
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-2 HT 1-1 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
12.02.2023 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
30.10.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-0 HT 1-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
03.07.2022 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-3 HT 0-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
22.09.2021 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-3 HT 0-2 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
28.07.2021 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-1 HT 0-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PERKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
0-4
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.66 xG 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
207 Passes 248
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal ran out comfortable winners over Carlos Manucci Trujillo 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Carlos Manucci Trujillo had 47% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 53%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.66 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Carlos Manucci Trujillo and 2.33 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Sporting Cristal?

Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-4 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Carlos Manucci Trujillo 27%, draw 30%, Sporting Cristal 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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