Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.96
6+ Goals
12%
18.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.8
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
12%
6.45
X/2
17%
4.74
X/X
13%
4.29
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.11
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 46%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -23%
1.49/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.68
+31% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
12.8 Crosses 20.3
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 1.11
33% Ball Possession 67%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 7
174 Passes 483
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
2-2
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
0.69 xG 2.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 24
9 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
278 Passes 426
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 38
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Puszcza Niepolomice vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puszcza Niepolomice and Zaglebie Lubin shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Zaglebie Lubin at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Puszcza Niepolomice had 42% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 58%, shots finished 12-24, expected goals 0.69 to 2.29.

What was the final score of Puszcza Niepolomice vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puszcza Niepolomice vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zaglebie Lubin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Puszcza Niepolomice 34%, draw 25%, Zaglebie Lubin 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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