Sparta Prag 3-0 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.18
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
23%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
79%
-23.8pp
21%
Draw
12%
+8.5pp
23%
Away Win
8%
+15.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.95/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/3.27
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +121% / -18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dukla Prag
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.98 xG 0.66
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
480 Passes 244
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.11.2024 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
02.08.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
18.02.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-3 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
31.08.2018 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
07.04.2018 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
30.09.2017 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
3-0
AWAY Dukla Prag
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag cruised past Dukla Prag 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 71% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 29%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sparta Prag and 0.50 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Dukla Prag?

Sparta Prag 3-0 Dukla Prag in the Czech Republic - Cup on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 56%, draw 21%, Dukla Prag 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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