Dukla Prag 1-1 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 30 Nov 2024

Dukla Prag
1-1 HT 0-1
Sparta Prag
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Czech Republic - Czech Liga – 2024/2025

Dukla Prag vs Sparta Prag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
56%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.33
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.42
6+ Goals
13%
13.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.42 — our 26% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
57%
Away Win
63%
-6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dukla Prag v Sparta Prag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 67%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.15/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.81
+17% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
308 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 71%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.8
20.6 Crosses 20.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Dukla Prag vs Sparta Prag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Prag
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.23 xG 2.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
202 Passes 588
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 28
6 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.08.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
18.02.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-3 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
31.08.2018 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
07.04.2018 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
30.09.2017 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
04.03.2017 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK

Dukla Prag 1-1 Sparta Prag — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Prag
1-1
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.08 xG 1.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 8
287 Passes 371
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Dukla Prag vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Prag and Sparta Prag couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Sparta Prag carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dukla Prag had 46% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 54%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.08 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dukla Prag and 1.83 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Dukla Prag vs Sparta Prag?

Dukla Prag 1-1 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Prag vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dukla Prag 18%, draw 26%, Sparta Prag 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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