Banik Ostrava 2-1 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.98
4-5 Goals
22%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.3 — our 25% vs market 13.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.8pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.7pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 18%
-13% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.90/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.15
+5% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
24.6 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banik Ostrava
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Karvina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.37 xG 0.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
267 Passes 314
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2024 Karvina Karvina 0-0 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
14.04.2024 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-2 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
05.11.2023 Karvina Karvina 1-3 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
19.03.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-3 HT 0-3 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
24.11.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-2 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
29.05.2021 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-1 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banik Ostrava
2-1
AWAY Karvina
5.14 xG 1.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
36 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 1
307 Passes 228
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
69 Box Touches 18
41 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Banik Ostrava vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava edged past Karvina 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Banik Ostrava as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Banik Ostrava had 56% of the ball to Karvina's 44%, shots finished 36-8, expected goals 5.14 to 1.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Banik Ostrava's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Banik Ostrava and 1.33 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Banik Ostrava vs Karvina?

Banik Ostrava 2-1 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banik Ostrava vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Banik Ostrava 56%, draw 23%, Karvina 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banik Ostrava), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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