Arbroath 2-1 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 25 Feb 2025

Arbroath
2-1 HT 1-0
Kelty Hearts
📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Arbroath vs Kelty Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.32
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.23
6+ Goals
8%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 29% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+9.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arbroath v Kelty Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.69/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.79
-7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 6.0
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Arbroath vs Kelty Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
The Meetings
17.12.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 3-2 HT 1-1 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
17.08.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 0-3 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
24.07.2021 Arbroath Arbroath 3-2 HT 1-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKLK
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath edged past Kelty Hearts 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arbroath as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arbroath and 2.67 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Kelty Hearts?

Arbroath 2-1 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 45%, draw 23%, Kelty Hearts 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arbroath) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arbroath) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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