Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 25 Feb 2025

Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 HT 1-0
Bournemouth
📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.57
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
14%
4.97
X/2
7%
7.82
X/X
13%
5.64
2/1
7%
21.05
2/2
15%
5.17
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.0 — our 11% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.44/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.73
-17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
22.8 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Bournemouth
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.97 xG 1.43
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
492 Passes 252
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.11.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-2 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
28.04.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3-0 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
24.09.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 HT 1-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
04.04.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-2 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
04.02.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
21.01.2020 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3-1 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP

Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1
AWAY Bournemouth
2.42 xG 1.46
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
266 Passes 372
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 42
8 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion nicked a narrow win over Bournemouth 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brighton & Hove Albion as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 43% of the ball to Bournemouth's 57%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 2.42 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.33 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Bournemouth?

Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 43%, draw 23%, Bournemouth 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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