Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crystal Palace v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-0
Crystal Palace
İNP
1-0
HT 1-0
Crystal Palace
İNP
3-1
HT 1-1
Aston Villa
İNP
Crystal Palace 4-1 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
Crystal Palace swept aside Aston Villa 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Crystal Palace as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Crystal Palace had 36% of the ball to Aston Villa's 64%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 4.31 to 0.38.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.33 for Aston Villa.
What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa?
Crystal Palace 4-1 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 46%, draw 26%, Aston Villa 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.