Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-0
Crystal Palace
İNP
1-0
HT 1-0
Crystal Palace
İNP
3-1
HT 1-1
Aston Villa
İNP
1-1
HT 0-0
Crystal Palace
İNP
1-2
HT 0-1
Aston Villa
İNP
Aston Villa 1-2 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics
Crystal Palace nicked a narrow win over Aston Villa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Crystal Palace made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aston Villa had 62% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 38%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.14 to 0.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Aston Villa.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aston Villa and 1.83 for Crystal Palace.
What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace?
Aston Villa 1-2 Crystal Palace in the England - League Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace?
Before kick-off our model rated an Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 33%, draw 31%, Crystal Palace 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.