Tottenham vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tottenham v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals
Tottenham vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 2-1
Tottenham
İNP
1-0
HT 1-0
Manchester City
İNP
4-2
HT 0-2
Tottenham
İNP
2-3
HT 1-1
Tottenham
İNP
Tottenham 2-1 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics
Tottenham nicked a narrow win over Manchester City 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Tottenham made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Tottenham had 32% of the ball to Manchester City's 68%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.96 to 1.63 — the balance of chances actually favoured Manchester City.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tottenham and 2.00 for Manchester City.
What was the final score of Tottenham vs Manchester City?
Tottenham 2-1 Manchester City in the England - League Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Manchester City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 39%, draw 25%, Manchester City 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.