30/10/2024
·
22:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Preston North End vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
10%
20%
Draw
18%
56%
Away Win
71%
42%
Under 2.5
44%
58%
Over 2.5
56%
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
54%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Preston North End v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Preston North End
EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Arsenal
EU Bookmakers 75%
+2% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-21% /
-21%
0.70/1.63
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.43/0.93
-11%
/
+53%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+119%
/
+134%
36%
Ball Possession
64%
10
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Target
7
4
Corners
7
228 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
518 · 85%
13.4
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0
8.4
Crosses
12.0
0.2
Yellow Cards
2.0
Preston North End vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Preston North End
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Arsenal
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
32%
Ball Possession
68%
8
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
8
2
Corners
6
240
Passes
621
74%
Pass Accuracy
90%
19
Crosses
22
3
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
07.01.2017
Preston North End
1-2
HT 1-0
Arsenal
FAK
1-2
HT 1-0
Arsenal
FAK
POST-MATCH
Preston North End vs Arsenal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Arsenal swept aside Preston North End 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Preston North End vs Arsenal?
Preston North End 0-3 Arsenal in the England - League Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Arsenal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 24%, draw 20%, Arsenal 56%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Arsenal)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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30 Oct 2024