Preston North End 0-3 Arsenal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
7.78
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
15%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
17.9
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
25.5
X/1
10%
21.1
X/2
15%
3.3
X/X
10%
7.28
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
33%
1.49
2/X
4%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
10%
+13.7pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.1pp
56%
Away Win
71%
-15.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal EU Bookmakers 75%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.70/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.43/0.93
-11% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +119% / +134%
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
228 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 518 · 85%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
8.4 Crosses 12.0
0.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arsenal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
240 Passes 621
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.01.2017 Preston North End Preston North End 1-2 HT 1-0 Arsenal Arsenal FAK
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Arsenal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal swept aside Preston North End 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Arsenal?

Preston North End 0-3 Arsenal in the England - League Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Arsenal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 24%, draw 20%, Arsenal 56%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNLK More England - League Cup
30 Oct 2024
22:30 Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool Analysis →
22:45 Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace Analysis →
22:45 Manchester United vs Leicester City Analysis →
22:45 Newcastle United vs Chelsea Analysis →
23:15 Tottenham vs Manchester City Analysis →