Inter 2-0 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 25 Feb 2025

Inter
2-0 HT 1-0
Lazio
📅25/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.8
Over
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No Pick
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.03
2-3
38%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.62
6+
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.03 — our 31% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.49
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
15%
4.35
X/2
8%
8.08
X/X
10%
4.73
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
9%
6.43
2/X
5%
15.1
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio The Market 27%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.51 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.01
0.64 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.50
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Great Defensevs comparable teams Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
26.9 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lazio
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.28 xG 0.81
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
498 Passes 382
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2024 Lazio Lazio 0-6 HT 0-2 Inter Inter İTA
19.05.2024 Inter Inter 1-1 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
19.01.2024 Inter Inter 3-0 HT 1-0 Lazio Lazio İTSK
17.12.2023 Lazio Lazio 0-2 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
30.04.2023 Inter Inter 3-1 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
26.08.2022 Lazio Lazio 3-1 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
2-0
AWAY Lazio
0.93 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
428 Passes 400
88% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Inter vs Lazio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Inter saw off Lazio 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 51% to 49% in Inter's favour, shots finished 4-13, expected goals 0.93 to 0.95.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for Inter against 0.83 for Lazio.

Inter vs Lazio Result & Final Score

Inter 2-0 Lazio in the Italy - Cup on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Inter vs Lazio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Inter 54%, draw 24%, Lazio 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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