Gimnasia La Plata 1-2 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 25 Feb 2026

📅25/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
38%
2.7
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
71%
1.38
Over
29%
2.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.31
No
57%
1.54
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
47%
4-5
11%
6+
1%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
27%
2/1
2%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Gimnasia La Plata The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central The Market 40%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.04 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
1.00 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.90
Average Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Strong
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rosario Central
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 1.65
50% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
246 Passes 249
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-3 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
16.03.2025 Rosario Central Rosario Central 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
05.08.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
18.02.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 2-1 HT 2-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
23.09.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
01.04.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1 - 2
AWAY Rosario Central
1.92 xG 1.78
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
293 Passes 390
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Gimnasia La Plata vs Rosario Central
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rosario Central shaded a tight game against Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 on their travels. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 38% / 34% — and on the day Rosario Central made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rosario Central saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.92 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosario Central led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Gimnasia La Plata against 2.00 for Rosario Central.

Gimnasia La Plata vs Rosario Central Result & Final Score

Gimnasia La Plata 1 - 2 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 25/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gimnasia La Plata vs Rosario Central Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 28%, draw 38%, Rosario Central 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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