Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.81
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.62
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
19%
4.71
X/2
10%
5.75
X/X
17%
3.54
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
9%
4.77
2/X
5%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+6.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.7pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.24/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.31
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.0 Crosses 20.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rosario Central
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
256 Passes 280
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 2-1 HT 2-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
23.09.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
01.04.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
25.06.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
30.07.2021 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
16.02.2020 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
0-1
AWAY Rosario Central
0.73 xG 1.13
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
261 Passes 240
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central edged past Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnasia La Plata at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 53% of the ball to Rosario Central's 47%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.73 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.17 for Rosario Central.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Rosario Central?

Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 45%, draw 29%, Rosario Central 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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