Atletico Tucuman 2-1 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-8.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+8.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+4.3pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.35/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.22
-17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 68%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
23.7 Crosses 18.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.64 xG 0.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
232 Passes 221
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-2 HT 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
07.09.2015 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJPBN
30.08.2014 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
2-1
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
0.77 xG 1.08
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
249 Passes 170
66% Pass Accuracy 62%
16 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tucuman squeezed past Independiente Rivadavia 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Tucuman as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 58% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 42%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.77 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Tucuman had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 1.00 for Independiente Rivadavia.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Atletico Tucuman 2-1 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 50%, draw 29%, Independiente Rivadavia 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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