Lanus 3-2 Atletico Tigre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.3pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.67/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.09
+10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 71%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
22.0 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Tigre
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 324
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.03.2024 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-3 HT 2-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
27.10.2023 Lanus Lanus 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
02.04.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-1 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
03.09.2022 Lanus Lanus 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
01.03.2022 Lanus Lanus 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
27.10.2018 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-1 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
3-2
AWAY Atletico Tigre
1.26 xG 0.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 0
366 Passes 385
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lanus vs Atletico Tigre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus squeezed past Atletico Tigre 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lanus as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lanus had 49% of the ball to Atletico Tigre's 51%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.26 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lanus and 1.33 for Atletico Tigre.

What was the final score of Lanus vs Atletico Tigre?

Lanus 3-2 Atletico Tigre in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs Atletico Tigre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lanus 51%, draw 27%, Atletico Tigre 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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