National Bank of Egypt 1-0 Pharco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 25 Feb 2026

📅25/02/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.52
Over 2.5
48%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.44
No
49%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
37%
+13.8pp
49%
BTTS No
63%
-13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Pharco EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.48/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.04
-1% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +45%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
20.4 Crosses 13.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME National Bank of Egypt
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Pharco
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.93 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
319 Passes 216
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2025 Pharco Pharco 2-1 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
09.11.2024 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
13.08.2024 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
01.03.2024 Pharco Pharco 2-1 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
11.02.2023 Pharco Pharco 1-0 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
18.10.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-1 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME National Bank of Egypt
1-0
AWAY Pharco
2.18 xG 0.63
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
430 Passes 175
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH National Bank of Egypt vs Pharco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

National Bank of Egypt nicked a narrow win over Pharco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had National Bank of Egypt as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, National Bank of Egypt had 66% of the ball to Pharco's 34%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.18 to 0.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold National Bank of Egypt's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pharco led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for National Bank of Egypt and 1.00 for Pharco.

What was the final score of National Bank of Egypt vs Pharco?

National Bank of Egypt 1-0 Pharco in the Egypt - Premier League on 25/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for National Bank of Egypt vs Pharco?

Before kick-off our model rated a National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split National Bank of Egypt 50%, draw 29%, Pharco 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (National Bank of Egypt), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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