Real Madrid U19 1-0 Chelsea U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 25 Feb 2026

Real Madrid U19
1-0 HT 1-0
Chelsea U19
📅25/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2025/2026

Real Madrid U19 vs Chelsea U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.92
2-3 Goals
36%
2.03
4-5 Goals
24%
2.41
6+ Goals
16%
5.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.73
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
4%
12.3
X/1
10%
5.4
X/2 EV+ ✗
18%
7.2
X/X
13%
6.4
2/1
5%
19.9
2/2
15%
4.23
2/X
3%
12.7
Value flag · X/2 at 7.2 — our 18% vs market 10.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.3pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid U19 v Chelsea U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea U19 EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.59/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.42
+79% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 82%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
25.0 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Real Madrid U19 vs Chelsea U19 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chelsea U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 0
487 Passes 327
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.03.2018 Real Madrid U19 Real Madrid U19 2-4 HT 1-3 Chelsea U19 Chelsea U19 UEGL

Real Madrid U19 1-0 Chelsea U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid U19
1-0
AWAY Chelsea U19
1.52 xG 0.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 8
284 Passes 367
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
34 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid U19 vs Chelsea U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid U19 squeezed past Chelsea U19 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 20% / 39% — and on the day Real Madrid U19 made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Madrid U19 had 45% of the ball to Chelsea U19's 55%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.52 to 0.40.

What was the final score of Real Madrid U19 vs Chelsea U19?

Real Madrid U19 1-0 Chelsea U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 25/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid U19 vs Chelsea U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid U19 41%, draw 20%, Chelsea U19 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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