Benfica U19 6-2 AZ U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 25 Feb 2026

📅25/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.05
2-3 Goals
37%
2.31
4-5 Goals
27%
2.26
6+ Goals
17%
3.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.75
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
3%
14.65
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.53
X/2
8%
12.35
X/X
11%
8.47
2/1
5%
16.2
2/2
6%
8.03
2/X
7%
16.25
Value flag · X/1 at 4.53 — our 25% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.7pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.6pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U19 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ U19 EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.40/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.47
-26% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +83%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
23.5 Crosses 9.9
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U19
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AZ U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.82 xG 1.05
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
304 Passes 304
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.02.2025 AZ U19 AZ U19 2-2 HT 0-1 Benfica U19 Benfica U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U19
6-2
AWAY AZ U19
2.88 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
26 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
353 Passes 262
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
51 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Benfica U19 vs AZ U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U19 cruised past AZ U19 6-2. Half-time: 4-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benfica U19 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Benfica U19 had 56% of the ball to AZ U19's 44%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 2.88 to 1.11.

What was the final score of Benfica U19 vs AZ U19?

Benfica U19 6-2 AZ U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 25/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U19 vs AZ U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Benfica U19 60%, draw 21%, AZ U19 19%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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