AZ U19 2-2 Benfica U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.25
1/2
8%
21.7
1/X
4%
13.55
X/1
8%
7.6
X/2
11%
4.84
X/X
13%
5.4
2/1
5%
32.0
2/2
23%
2.61
2/X EV+ ✓
12%
12.8
Value flag · 2/X at 12.8 — our 12% vs market 5.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ U19 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U19 EU Bookmakers 51%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.14/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.93
-33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +42%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
232 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 81%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
7.0 Crosses 17.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ U19
2-2
AWAY Benfica U19
1.05 xG 2.82
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
304 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 24
6 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AZ U19 vs Benfica U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ U19 and Benfica U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica U19 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AZ U19 had 49% of the ball to Benfica U19's 51%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.05 to 2.82.

What was the final score of AZ U19 vs Benfica U19?

AZ U19 2-2 Benfica U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ U19 vs Benfica U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AZ U19 29%, draw 29%, Benfica U19 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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