VfB Stuttgart U19 2-2 Liverpool U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.51
Over 2.5
64%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.14
2-3 Goals
33%
1.95
4-5 Goals
31%
2.54
6+ Goals
13%
6.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.58
1/2
3%
28.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
15%
4.98
X/2
9%
7.47
X/X
7%
6.36
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.8
2/2
16%
4.75
2/X
6%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.8 — our 8% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+3.4pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.8pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
36%
-0.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
64%
+0.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.8pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Stuttgart U19 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool U19 EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.76
+130% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
372 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VfB Stuttgart U19
2-2
AWAY Liverpool U19
2.24 xG 0.46
59% Ball Possession 41%
24 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
436 Passes 269
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Liverpool U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Stuttgart U19 and Liverpool U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was VfB Stuttgart U19 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, VfB Stuttgart U19 had 59% of the ball to Liverpool U19's 41%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.24 to 0.46.

What was the final score of VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Liverpool U19?

VfB Stuttgart U19 2-2 Liverpool U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Liverpool U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Stuttgart U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split VfB Stuttgart U19 52%, draw 20%, Liverpool U19 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VfB Stuttgart U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VfB Stuttgart U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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