Dynamo Kiev U19 3-3 Atalanta U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.48
1/2
5%
23.4
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
13%
5.99
X/2
8%
5.99
X/X
10%
5.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.4
2/2
19%
3.48
2/X
9%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.4 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.9pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev U19 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta U19 EU Bookmakers 40%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.58/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/2.21
+54% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Kiev U19
3-3
AWAY Atalanta U19
1.63 xG 1.81
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
323 Passes 424
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev U19 vs Atalanta U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev U19 and Atalanta U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dynamo Kiev U19 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Dynamo Kiev U19 had 45% of the ball to Atalanta U19's 55%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.63 to 1.81.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev U19 vs Atalanta U19?

Dynamo Kiev U19 3-3 Atalanta U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev U19 vs Atalanta U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Kiev U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev U19 43%, draw 25%, Atalanta U19 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dynamo Kiev U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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