Inter U19 3-1 Lille U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 11 Feb 2025

Inter U19
3-1 HT 2-0
Lille U19
📅11/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2024/2025

Inter U19 vs Lille U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
9.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.74
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.2
X/1 EV+ ✗
27%
3.86
X/2
8%
13.2
X/X
8%
6.38
2/1
4%
21.5
2/2
10%
11.0
2/X
6%
19.7
Value flag · X/1 at 3.86 — our 27% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter U19 v Lille U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter U19 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille U19 EU Bookmakers 18%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.50/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/3.56
+73% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +38%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
390 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 75%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
17.5 Crosses 11.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

Inter U19 3-1 Lille U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter U19
3-1
AWAY Lille U19
2.48 xG 1.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 9
292 Passes 414
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter U19 vs Lille U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter U19 beat Lille U19 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter U19 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Inter U19 had 43% of the ball to Lille U19's 57%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 2.48 to 1.31.

What was the final score of Inter U19 vs Lille U19?

Inter U19 3-1 Lille U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter U19 vs Lille U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Inter U19 57%, draw 21%, Lille U19 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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