Villarreal U19 2-1 Legia Warszawa U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 25 Feb 2026

📅25/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
2.61
Over 2.5
72%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.55
No
34%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.43
2-3 Goals
30%
1.98
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
37%
2.48
6+ Goals
17%
5.57
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.48 — our 37% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.85
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
7%
4.26
X/2
3%
11.2
X/X
9%
7.25
2/1
5%
18.25
2/2
16%
7.91
2/X
4%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-4.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.7pp
28%
Under 2.5
35%
-6.9pp
72%
Over 2.5
65%
+6.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
60%
+6.1pp
34%
BTTS No
40%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal U19 EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Warszawa U19 EU Bookmakers 21%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
3.20/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/2.95
+40% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses 8.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal U19
2-1
AWAY Legia Warszawa U19
2.23 xG 1.02
64% Ball Possession 36%
27 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 0
467 Passes 219
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
40 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Villarreal U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal U19 nicked a narrow win over Legia Warszawa U19 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Villarreal U19 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Villarreal U19 had 64% of the ball to Legia Warszawa U19's 36%, shots finished 27-7, expected goals 2.23 to 1.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Villarreal U19's control.

What was the final score of Villarreal U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19?

Villarreal U19 2-1 Legia Warszawa U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 25/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Villarreal U19 57%, draw 19%, Legia Warszawa U19 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Villarreal U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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