Alvechurch 1-1 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.86
Draw
36%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
50%
-13.3pp
35%
Draw
25%
+10.5pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.27/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.87
-26% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
2W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-0 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
13.01.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
12.08.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alvechurch
1-1
AWAY AFC Sudbury
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch and AFC Sudbury couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 35% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alvechurch had 59% of the ball to AFC Sudbury's 41%, shots finished 5-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alvechurch had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alvechurch and 0.33 for AFC Sudbury.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs AFC Sudbury?

Alvechurch 1-1 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 36%, draw 35%, AFC Sudbury 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alvechurch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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