Coquimbo Unido 1-2 Racing Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.74
Over
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.92
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
20%
4.0
6+
8%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.92 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.69
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
4%
14.05
X/1
9%
7.34
X/2
18%
4.39
X/X
15%
4.3
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.76
2/X
9%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.0pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club EU Bookmakers 50%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coquimbo Unido
1-2
AWAY Racing Club
0.65 xG 2.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 1
278 Passes 342
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 21
33 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Coquimbo Unido vs Racing Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club nicked a narrow win over Coquimbo Unido 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Racing Club made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Coquimbo Unido had 48% of the ball to Racing Club's 52%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.65 to 2.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Racing Club's control.

What was the final score of Coquimbo Unido vs Racing Club?

Coquimbo Unido 1-2 Racing Club in the Copa Sudamericana on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coquimbo Unido vs Racing Club?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Coquimbo Unido 33%, draw 28%, Racing Club 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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